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Faculty of Mathematics

 

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Bayesian stopping rules for trials
MK Parmar, DJ Spiegelhalter, GO Griffiths, DG Altman, RL Souhami
– The Lancet
(2002)
359,
76
Bayesian stopping rules for trials
J Nicholl, S Goodacre
– The Lancet
(2002)
359,
76
Funnel plots for institutional comparisons
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Quality Safety in Health Care
(2002)
11,
390
VIBES: A Variational Inference Engine for Bayesian Networks
CM Bishop, D Spiegelhalter, J Winn
– Nips 2002 Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems
(2002)
777
Prospective application of Bayesian monitoring and analysis in an 'open' randomized clinical trial
A Vail, J Hornbuckle, DJ Spiegelhalter, JG Thornton
– Statistics in medicine
(2001)
20,
3777
Was Bristol an outlier?
MA Mohammed, KK Cheng, A Rouse, T Marshall, J Duffy
– Lancet
(2001)
358,
2083
Was Bristol an outlier?
P Aylin, D Spiegelhalter, N Best, GD Murray, P Elliott
– The Lancet
(2001)
358,
2084
Was Bristol an outlier?
D Carr
– Lancet
(2001)
358,
2083
Monitoring of large randomised clinical trials: A new approach with Bayesian methods
MK Parmar, GO Griffiths, DJ Spiegelhalter, RL Souhami, DG Altman, E van der Scheuren, CHART steering committee
– Lancet
(2001)
358,
375
Comparison of uk paediatric cardiac surgical performance by analysis of routinely collected data 1984-96: Was bristol an outlier?
P Aylin, B Alves, N Best, A Cook, P Elliott, SJ Evans, AE Lawrence, GD Murray, J Pollock, D Spiegelhalter
– Lancet (London, England)
(2001)
358,
181
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory