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Faculty of Mathematics

 

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

VIBES: A Variational Inference Engine for Bayesian Networks
CM Bishop, D Spiegelhalter, J Winn
– Nips 2002 Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems
(2002)
777
Prospective application of Bayesian monitoring and analysis in an "open" randomized clinical trial.
A Vail, J Hornbuckle, DJ Spiegelhalter, JG Thornton
– Statistics in medicine
(2001)
20,
3777
Was Bristol an outlier?
D Carr
– Lancet (London, England)
(2001)
358,
2083
Was Bristol an outlier? [6] (multiple letters)
MA Mohammed, KK Cheng, A Rouse, T Marshall, J Duffy
– Lancet (London, England)
(2001)
358,
2083
Was Bristol an outlier? Reply
P Aylin, D Spiegelhalter, N Best, GD Murray, P Elliott
– The Lancet
(2001)
358,
2084
Monitoring of large randomised clinical trials: a new approach with Bayesian methods.
MK Parmar, GO Griffiths, DJ Spiegelhalter, RL Souhami, DG Altman, E van der Scheuren, CHART steering committee
– The Lancet
(2001)
358,
375
Comparison of uk paediatric cardiac surgical performance by analysis of routinely collected data 1984-96: Was bristol an outlier?
P Aylin, B Alves, N Best, A Cook, P Elliott, SJ Evans, AE Lawrence, GD Murray, J Pollock, D Spiegelhalter
– The Lancet
(2001)
358,
181
“Actuarial Modeling with MCMC and BUGs”, David P. M. Scollnik, April 2001
D Spiegelhalter
– North American Actuarial Journal
(2001)
5,
124
Raising concerns about family history of breast cancer in primary care consultations: prospective, population based study. Women's Concerns Study Group.
F Hyland, AL Kinmonth, TM Marteau, S Griffin, P Murrell, D Spiegelhalter, C Todd, F Walter, B Berrington, M Bobrow, J Mackay
– British Medical Journal
(2001)
322,
27
Bayesian methods for cluster randomized trials with continuous responses.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in Medicine
(2001)
20,
435
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory