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Faculty of Mathematics

 

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Funnel plots for institutional comparisons
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Quality Safety in Health Care
(2002)
11,
390
Prospective application of Bayesian monitoring and analysis in an ‘open’ randomized clinical trial
A Vail, J Hornbuckle, DJ Spiegelhalter, JG Thornton
– Statistics in Medicine
(2001)
20,
3777
Was Bristol an outlier? [6] (multiple letters)
D Carr
– The Lancet
(2001)
358,
2083
Was Bristol an outlier?
P Aylin, D Spiegelhalter, N Best, GD Murray, P Elliott
– The Lancet
(2001)
358,
2084
Monitoring of large randomised clinical trials: A new approach with Bayesian methods
MK Parmar, GO Griffiths, DJ Spiegelhalter, RL Souhami, DG Altman, E van der Scheuren, CHART steering committee
– Lancet
(2001)
358,
375
Comparison of UK paediatric cardiac surgical performance by analysis of routinely collected data 1984–96: was Bristol an outlier?
P Aylin, B Alves, N Best, A Cook, P Elliott, SJ Evans, AE Lawrence, GD Murray, J Pollock, D Spiegelhalter
– Lancet (London, England)
(2001)
358,
181
“Actuarial Modeling with MCMC and BUGs”, David P. M. Scollnik, April 2001
D Spiegelhalter
– North American Actuarial Journal
(2001)
5,
124
Raising concerns about family history of breast cancer in primary care consultations: prospective, population based study. Women's Concerns Study Group.
F Hyland, AL Kinmonth, TM Marteau, S Griffin, P Murrell, D Spiegelhalter, C Todd, F Walter, B Berrington, M Bobrow, J Mackay
– BMJ: British Medical Journal
(2001)
322,
27
Bayesian methods for cluster randomized trials with continuous responses
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in Medicine
(2001)
20,
435
Framework for design and evaluation of complex interventions to improve health
M Campbell, R Fitzpatrick, A Haines, AL Kinmonth, P Sandercock, D Spiegelhalter, P Tyrer
– British Medical Journal
(2000)
321,
694
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory

Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945