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Faculty of Mathematics

 

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

The meaning and implications of gender differences in cognitive decline and dementia
C Brayne, C Dufouil, D Clayton, D Spiegelhalter
– ZEITSCHRIFT FUR GERONTOLOGIE UND GERIATRIE
(1999)
32,
78
Use of person-years of CIN III exposure as a surrogate outcome measure in cervical cancer screening trials.
TC Prevost, DJ Spiegelhalter, SW Duffy
– Journal of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention
(1999)
4,
19
Inference-robust institutional comparisons: A case study of school examination results
DJ Spiegelhalter, EC Marshall
– BAYESIAN STATISTICS 6
(1999)
613
Tutorial in biostatistics. Survival analysis in observational studies
K BULL, DJ SPIEGELHALTER
– Statistics in Medicine
(1998)
16,
1041
An empirical comparison of expert-derived and data-derived classification trees
M Chiogna, DJ Spiegelhalter, RC Franklin, K Bull
– Statistics in medicine
(1998)
15,
157
Intensive blood-glucose control with sulphonylureas or insulin compared with conventional treatment and risk of complications in patients with type 2 diabetes (UKPDS 33)
– The Lancet
(1998)
352,
837
Comparison between two districts of the effects of an air pollution intervention on bronchial responsiveness in primary school children in Hong Kong.
CM Wong, TH Lam, J Peters, AJ Hedley, SG Ong, AY Tam, J Liu, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health
(1998)
52,
571
Randomised controlled trial of laparoscopic versus open mesh repair for inguinal hernia: outcome and cost.
J Wellwood, MJ Sculpher, D Stoker, GJ Nicholls, C Geddes, A Whitehead, R Singh, D Spiegelhalter
– British Medical Journal
(1998)
317,
103
Reliability of league tables of in vitro fertilisation clinics: retrospective analysis of live birth rates
EC Marshall, DJ Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(1998)
316,
1701
Graphical modeling for complex stochastic systems: the BUGS project
D Spiegelhalter, A Thomas
– IEEE INTELL SYST APP
(1998)
13,
14
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory