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Faculty of Mathematics

 

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

The what, why and how of Bayesian clinical trials monitoring.
LS Freedman, DJ Spiegelhalter, MK Parmar
– Statistics in Medicine
(2006)
13,
1371
The CHART trials: Bayesian design and monitoring in practice. CHART Steering Committee.
MK Parmar, DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman
– Statistics in medicine
(2006)
13,
1297
A unified method for monitoring and analysing controlled trials
J Grossman, MK Parmar, DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman
– Statistics in Medicine
(2006)
13,
1815
Probabilistic prediction in patient management and clinical trials.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in medicine
(2006)
5,
421
Evaluation of clinical decision‐aids, with an application to a system for dyspepsia
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Stat Med
(2006)
2,
207
A predictive approach to selecting the size of a clinical trial, based on subjective clinical opinion
DJ Spiegelhalter, LS Freedman
– Statistics in medicine
(2006)
5,
1
An analysis of repeated biopsies following cardiac transplantation.
DJ Spiegelhalter, PG Stovin
– Stat Med
(2006)
2,
33
Sequential updating of conditional probabilities on directed graphical structures
DJ Spiegelhalter, SL Lauritzen
– Networks
(2006)
20,
579
Screening for diabetic retinopathy: a relative cost-effectiveness analysis of alternative modalities and strategies.
MJ Sculpher, MJ Buxton, BA Ferguson, DJ Spiegelhalter, AJ Kirby
– Health economics
(2006)
1,
39
Belief networks and adverse drug reactions: Discussion of papers by G. F. Cooper and D. A. Lane
DJ Spiegelhalter
– Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis
(2006)
5,
89
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory