Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk
Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment
Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.
Publications
The what, why and how of bayesian clinical trials monitoring
– Statistics in Medicine
(2006)
13,
1371
(doi: 10.1002/sim.4780131312)
Probabilistic prediction in patient management and clinical trials
– Stat Med
(2006)
5,
421
(doi: 10.1002/sim.4780050506)
An analysis of repeated biopsies following cardiac transplantation.
– Statistics in Medicine
(2006)
2,
33
(doi: 10.1002/sim.4780020105)
Evaluation of clinical decision‐aids, with an application to a system for dyspepsia
– Statistics in Medicine
(2006)
2,
207
(doi: 10.1002/sim.4780020215)
A predictive approach to selecting the size of a clinical trial, based on subjective clinical opinion
– Statistics in medicine
(2006)
5,
1
(doi: 10.1002/sim.4780050103)
Sequential updating of conditional probabilities on directed graphical structures
– Networks
(2006)
20,
579
(doi: 10.1002/net.3230200507)
Screening for diabetic retinopathy: A relative cost‐effectiveness analysis of alternative modalities and strategies
– Health Economics
(2006)
1,
39
(doi: 10.1002/hec.4730010107)
Belief networks and adverse drug reactions: Discussion of papers by G. F. Cooper and D. A. Lane
– Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis
(2006)
5,
89
(doi: 10.1002/asm.3150050110)
Flexible random-effects models using Bayesian semi-parametric models: Applications to institutional comparisons
– Statistics in Medicine
(2006)
26,
2088
(doi: 10.1002/sim.2666)
What determines the cost-effectiveness of diabetes screening?
– Diabetologia
(2006)
49,
1536
(doi: 10.1007/s00125-006-0248-x)
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