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Faculty of Mathematics

 

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Shielding from covid-19 should be stratified by risk
GD Smith, D Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2020)
369,
m2063
Risk perceptions of COVID-19 around the world
S Dryhurst, CR Schneider, J Kerr, ALJ Freeman, G Recchia, AM van der Bles, D Spiegelhalter, S van der Linden
– Journal of Risk Research
(2020)
1
The effects of communicating uncertainty on public trust in facts and numbers
AM van der Bles, S van der Linden, ALJ Freeman, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of USA
(2020)
117,
7672
Hormone replacement therapy and the risk of breast cancer: How much should women worry about it?
M Climént-Palmer, D Spiegelhalter
– Post reproductive health
(2019)
25,
175
Conducting fit‐for‐purpose food safety risk assessments
Y Devos, KC Elliott, P Macdonald, K McComas, L Parrino, D Vrbos, T Robinson, D Spiegelhalter, B Gallani
– EFSA Journal
(2019)
17,
e170707
Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers and science
AM van der Bles, S van der Linden, ALJ Freeman, J Mitchell, AB Galvao, L Zaval, DJ Spiegelhalter
– R Soc Open Sci
(2019)
6,
181870
Winners and losers: communicating the potential impacts of policies
C Brick, ALJ Freeman, S Wooding, WJ Skylark, TM Marteau, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Palgrave Communications
(2018)
4,
69
Communicating health risks in science publications: time for everyone to take responsibility
ALJ Freeman, DJ Spiegelhalter
– BMC Med
(2018)
16,
207
Winners and Losers: Communicating the Potential Impacts of Policies: Commentary on Zeller
C Brick, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Nicotine Tob Res
(2019)
21,
336
18 The effects of communicating uncertainty about facts and numbers
AMVD Bles, SVD Linden, A Freeman, D Spiegelhalter
– BMJ Evidence-Based Medicine
(2018)
23,
a9
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory
Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication

Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945