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Faculty of Mathematics

 

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

The deviance information criterion: 12 years on
DJ Spiegelhalter, NG Best, BP Carlin, A Van der Linde
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology
(2014)
76,
485
Have London's roads become more dangerous for cyclists?
J Aberdein, D Spiegelhalter
– Significance
(2013)
10,
46
Are you 45% more likely to die in a UK hospital rather than a US hospital?
D Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Online)
(2013)
347,
f5775
Have there been 13 000 needless deaths at 14 NHS trusts?
D Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2013)
347,
f4893
Conflict diagnostics in directed acyclic graphs, with applications in bayesian evidence synthesis
AM Presanis, D Ohlssen, DJ Spiegelhalter, D De Angelis
– Statistical Science
(2013)
28,
376
BUGS: Bayesian inference Using Gibbs Sampling, Version 0.5
DJ Spiegelhalter, A Thomas, NG Best, WR Gilks
(2013)
Use of implicit and explicit bayesian methods in health technology assessment.
NJ Cooper, D Spiegelhalter, S Bujkiewicz, P Dequen, AJ Sutton
– International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care
(2013)
29,
336
Application of bayesian statistics to decision making during a clinical trial
LS Freedman, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in Medicine
(2013)
11,
23
Bicycle helmets and the law.
B Goldacre, D Spiegelhalter
– BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
(2013)
346,
f3817
The Norm Chronicles
M Blastland, D Spiegelhalter
(2013)
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory

Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945