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Faculty of Mathematics

 

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Implications for trials in progress of publication of positive results
A Fletcher, D Spiegelhalter, J Staessen, L Thijs, C Bulpitt
– Lancet
(1993)
342,
653
Bayesian analysis in expert systems
DJ Spiegelhalter, AP Dawid, SL Lauritzen, RG Cowell
– Statistical Science
(1993)
8,
219
[Bayesian Analysis in Expert Systems]: Comment: Assessing the Science Behind Graphical Modelling Techniques
AP Dempster
– Statistical Science
(1993)
8,
247
Sequential Model Criticism in Probabilistic Expert Systems
RG Cowell, AP Dawid, DJ Spiegelhalter
– IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence
(1993)
15,
209
MODELING COMPLEXITY - APPLICATIONS OF GIBBS SAMPLING IN MEDICINE
WR GILKS, DG CLAYTON, DJ SPIEGELHALTER, NG BEST, AJ MCNEIL, LD SHARPLES, AJ KIRBY
– JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY
(1993)
55,
39
Conservative Treatment of Mild/Moderate Cervical Dyskaryosis
AJ KIRBY, DJ SPIEGELHALTER, NE DAY, L FENTON, K SWANSON, EMF MANN, JE MACGBEGOR
– Obstetrical and Gynecological Survey
(1993)
48,
263
Tricuspid atresia presenting in infancy. Survival and suitability for the Fontan operation.
RC Franklin, DJ Spiegelhalter, ID Sullivan, RH Anderson, DG Thoele, EA Shinebourne, JE Deanfield
– Circulation
(1993)
87,
427
DISCUSSION ON THE MEETING ON THE GIBBS SAMPLER AND OTHER MARKOV CHAIN-MONTE CARLO METHODS
P CLIFFORD, C JENNISON, J WAKEFIELD, D PHILLIPS, A FRIGESSI, AJ GRAY, A LAWSON, J FORSTER, P RAMGOPAL, O ARSLAN, PDL CONSTABLE, JT KENT, RCL WOLFF, EF HARDING, R MIDDLETON, PJ DIGGLE, RG AYKROYD, C BERZUINI, M BREWER, C AITKEN, G CELEUX, J DIEBOLT, F CRITCHLEY, P DIACONIS, JS ROSENTHAL et al.
– J ROY STAT SOC B MET
(1993)
55,
53
BAYESIAN NETWORKS FOR THE ANALYSIS OF DRUG SAFETY
RG COWELL, AP DAWID, TA HUTCHINSON, S RODEN, DJ SPIEGELHALTER
– STATISTICIAN
(1993)
42,
369
Risk stratification for open heart surgery.
DJ Spiegelhalter
– British Medical Journal
(1992)
305,
1500.2
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory