Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk
Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment
Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.
Publications
Ranking institutions [3] (multiple letters)
– Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery
(2003)
125,
1171
(doi: 10.1067/mtc.2002.265)
Use of risk-adjusted CUSUM and RSPRT charts for monitoring in medical contexts
– Stat Methods Med Res
(2003)
12,
147
(doi: 10.1177/096228020301200205)
Approximate crossâvalidatory predictive checks in disease mapping models
– Statistics in Medicine
(2003)
22,
1649
(doi: 10.1002/sim.1403)
Risk-adjusted sequential probability ratio tests: applications to Bristol, Shipman and adult cardiac surgery
– International Journal for Quality in Health Care
(2003)
15,
7
(doi: 10.1093/intqhc/15.1.7)
WinBUGS Version 1.4 User Manual
(2003)
VIBES: A variational inference engine for Bayesian networks
– Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems
(2003)
Funnel plots for institutional comparison [2]
– Quality and Safety in Health Care
(2002)
11,
390
(doi: 10.1136/qhc.11.4.390-a)
Bayesian analysis of population PK/PD models: general concepts and software.
– J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn
(2002)
29,
271
(doi: 10.1023/A:1020206907668)
Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B Statistical Methodology
(2002)
64,
583
(doi: 10.1111/1467-9868.00353)
Commissioned analysis of surgical performance using routine data: Lessons from the Bristol inquiry
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society
(2002)
165,
191
(doi: 10.1111/1467-985X.02021)
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