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Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Ranking institutions
D Spiegelhalter
– J THORAC CARDIOV SUR
(2003)
125,
1171
Use of risk-adjusted CUSUM and RSPRT charts for monitoring in medical contexts
OA Grigg, VT Farewell, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistical Methods in Medical Research
(2003)
12,
147
Approximate cross-validatory predictive checks in disease mapping models.
EC Marshall, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Statistics in Medicine
(2003)
22,
1649
Risk-adjusted sequential probability ratio tests: applications to Bristol, Shipman and adult cardiac surgery
D Spiegelhalter, O Grigg, R Kinsman, T Treasure
– International journal for quality in health care : journal of the International Society for Quality in Health Care
(2003)
15,
7
WinBUGS Version 1.4 User Manual
DJ Spiegelhalter, A Thomas, NG Best, D Lunn
(2003)
VIBES: A variational inference engine for Bayesian networks
CM Bishop, D Spiegelhalter, J Winn
– Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems
(2003)
Funnel plots for institutional comparison
D Spiegelhalter
– Quality & safety in health care
(2002)
11,
390
Bayesian Analysis of Population PK/PD Models: General Concepts and Software
DJ Lunn, N Best, A Thomas, J Wakefield, D Spiegelhalter
– J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn
(2002)
29,
271
Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit
DJ Spiegelhalter, NG Best, BR Carlin, A van der Linde
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology)
(2002)
64,
583
Commissioned analysis of surgical performance using routine data: Lessons from the Bristol inquiry
DJ Spiegelhalter, P Aylin, NG Best, SJW Evans, GD Murray
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)
(2002)
165,
191
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory

Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945