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Faculty of Mathematics

 

Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk

Research Interests: Public understanding of uncertainty and risk, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, performance assessment

Examples sheets and lecture notes can be found on my teaching page.

Publications

Incorporation of uncertainty in health economic modelling studies.
A O'Hagan, C McCabe, R Akehurst, A Brennan, A Briggs, K Claxton, E Fenwick, D Fryback, M Sculpher, D Spiegelhalter, A Willan
– Pharmacoeconomics
(2012)
23,
529
The authors’ reply
A O'Hagan, C McCabe, R Akehurst, A Brennan, A Briggs, K Claxton, E Fenwick, D Fryback, M Sculpher, D Spiegelhalter, A Willan
– PharmacoEconomics
(2012)
23,
853
Incorporation of Uncertainty in Health Economic Modelling Studies
M Nuijten
– Pharmacoeconomics
(2012)
23,
851
Blood cyclosporin concentrations and the short‐term risk of lung rejection following heart‐lung transplantation.
NG Best, AK Trull, KK Tan, KL Hue, DJ Spiegelhalter, SM Gore, J Wallwork
– British journal of clinical pharmacology
(2012)
34,
513
Simple and Multistate Survival Curves
T Rakow, RJ Wright, C Bull, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making
(2012)
32,
792
Empirical evaluation of prior beliefs about frequencies: Methodology and a case study in congenital heart disease
DJ Spiegelhalter, NL Harris, K Bull, RCG Franklin
– Journal of the American Statistical Association
(2012)
89,
435
Improved Probabilistic Prediction of Healthcare Performance Indicators using Bidirectional Smoothing Models
HE Jones, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society
(2012)
175,
729
Routine antenatal anti-D prophylaxis in women who are Rh(D) negative: Meta-analyses adjusted for differences in study design and quality
RM Turner, M Lloyd-Jones, DOC Anumba, GCS Smith, DJ Spiegelhalter, H Squires, JW Stevens, MJ Sweeting, SJ Urbaniak, R Webster, SG Thompson
– PLoS One
(2012)
7,
e30711
Handling uncertainty in housing stock models
AT Booth, R Choudhary, DJ Spiegelhalter
– Building and Environment
(2012)
48,
35
A Collaboratively-Derived Science-Policy Research Agenda
WJ Sutherland, L Bellingan, JR Bellingham, JJ Blackstock, RM Bloomfield, M Bravo, VM Cadman, DD Cleevely, A Clements, AS Cohen, DR Cope, AA Daemmrich, C Devecchi, LD Anadon, S Denegri, R Doubleday, NR Dusic, RJ Evans, WY Feng, HC Godfray, P Harris, SE Hartley, AJ Hester, J Holmes, A Hughes et al.
– PLoS One
(2012)
7,
e31824
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Research Groups

Centre for Mathematical Imaging in Healthcare
DPMMS retired
Statistical Laboratory

Room

D2.06

Telephone

01223 337945