Research Interests: Foundations of probability and statistics; evidential reasoning; causal inference; graphical models; forecasting systems; DNA profiling.
Publications
Present Position and Potential Developments: Some Personal Views: Statistical Theory: The Prequential Approach
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (General)
(2018)
147,
278
(doi: 10.2307/2981683)
A Note on Forecasting Car Ownership
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General)
(2018)
141,
64
(doi: 10.2307/2344776)
Statistical Modelling Issues in School Effectiveness Studies
– Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General)
(2018)
149,
1
(doi: 10.2307/2981882)
A Formal Treatment of Sequential Ignorability.
– Statistics in Biosciences
(2014)
6,
166
(doi: 10.1007/s12561-014-9110-8)
Deep determinism and the assessment of mechanistic interaction.
– Biostatistics (Oxford, England)
(2012)
14,
502
(doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxs049)
Deep determinism and the assessment of mechanistic interaction
– Biostatistics
(2012)
14,
502
(doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxs049)
Estimation of spatial processes using local scoring rules
– AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis
(2012)
97,
173
(doi: 10.1007/s10182-012-0191-8)
Retrospective-prospective symmetry in the likelihood and Bayesian analysis of case-control studies
(2012)
189
(doi: 10.1093/biomet/ast050)
Proper local scoring rules on discrete sample spaces
– The Annals of Statistics
(2012)
40,
593
(doi: 10.1214/12-aos972)
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